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For 13 years, smartphones accept been a massive success story. Year afterwards year, we've seen companies rolling out new products at a variety of toll points and market positions. From 2004 to Q3 2022, smartphone sales grew yr-on-year, even through the Great Recession. Q4 2022 put at to the lowest degree a temporary end to that trend.

Gartner reports smartphone sales brutal five.viii percent in Q4 2022 compared with Q4 2022. It's tempting to write this off as ordinary variance, simply when the market has shown no such variation in the past 51 quarters, information technology'due south harder to paw-wave the effigy. Information technology's specially more than difficult because, in theory, we should however be seeing robust growth given that there are huge untapped markets for devices across Republic of india and People's republic of china. Here'due south Gartner'south explanation, per research director Anshul Gupta:

Ii main factors led to the fall in the 4th quarter of 2022. Kickoff, upgrades from feature phones to smartphones accept slowed down due to a lack of quality "ultra-low-cost" smartphones and users preferring to buy quality characteristic phones. Second, replacement smartphone users are choosing quality models and keeping them longer, lengthening the replacement cycle of smartphones. Moreover, while demand for high quality, 4G connectivity and better camera features remained potent, high expectations and few incremental benefits during replacement weakened smartphone sales.

That's problematic for phone vendors, but non particularly surprising. Smartphone benchmark operation continues to ascent twelvemonth after yr, but newer phones have more than problems with throttling than older models did, and oft can't maintain their top frequencies for very long.

Feature introductions have slowed because it's much harder to find improvements in a 4-5W handset that keeps getting thinner while users demand better battery life. In short, the smartphone industry may have just slammed into the aforementioned issues that have kept the PC market from growing very much. FaceTime and integrated digital assistants aren't as universally appealing equally 1.5-2x functioning gains, faster storage, or a dramatic leap in screen resolution.

SmartphoneDecline

Apple sold 5 percentage fewer smartphones in Q4 compared with the previous twelvemonth. Samsung saw a smaller Q4 refuse. Huawei and Xiaomi were the big winners, particularly Xiaomi, which nearly doubled its market place share from the same menstruation in 2022.

Smartphone sales nevertheless rose on the full yr, upward ii percent, but that's a tiny gain compared with what we used to see. Investors and analysts will exist watching to see if the Q4 2022 drop becomes a trend or if the market place stabilizes. I imagine there'southward a bit of schadenfreude from the PC market, given that manufacturers in that space have been struggling with exactly the same problem — how do y'all build features compelling enough to drive upgrade cycles when raw operation has largely stalled out?